6-K ·Filed Aug 21, 2026

HMY

HARMONY GOLD MINING CO LTD
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed1mo ago SEC0001628280-26-058327
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive EPS beat (90-108% YoY) on the back of a 35% gold price increase and successful copper diversification is a strong catalyst. Traders should position long ahead of the full FY26 results on August 27, as the preliminary numbers confirm operational delivery and margin expansion. Monitor gold spot prices and the August 27 release for formal guidance on FY27.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
HMY ▼ -19.29% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -19.29% · α vs SPY -18.76% · entry $23.54 → $19.00
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+26 -28.40% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 21, 07:51 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-3.10%
call -3.10% · α -2.81%
$22.81
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-14.06%
call -14.06% · α -14.54%
$20.23
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-19.29%
call -19.29% · α -18.76%
$19.00
settled 11d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Harmony Gold issued a FY26 trading statement projecting EPS of 4400-4800 SA cents (up 90-108% YoY) and HEPS of 4050-4450 SA cents (up 73-90% YoY), driven by a 35.3% increase in the average gold price received and first-time copper revenue from the CSA mine. The company also met all operating guidance metrics, including gold production of 1,429,551 oz and AISC within guidance, while recognizing R2.8 billion in impairment reversals. This is a strong preliminary earnings release ahead of the full results on August 27, confirming the company's operational and financial momentum.

Key Facts

  • EPS expected between 4400 and 4800 SA cents, up 90-108% YoY from 2313 SA cents
  • HEPS expected between 4050 and 4450 SA cents, up 73-90% YoY from 2337 SA cents
  • Average gold price received increased 35.3% to R2,069,710/kg (US$3,811/oz)
  • Group gold production of 44,464 kg (1,429,551 oz) in line with guidance
  • CSA mine contributed 18,207 tonnes of copper production at average price of US$5.62/lb
  • Impairment reversals of R2.8 billion (US$165 million) recognized on higher gold price assumptions
  • Acquisition costs of R1.4 billion (US$82 million) incurred for MAC Copper integration
  • Royalty expense increased ~R1.5 billion (US$95 million) and tax expense increased ~R2.3 billion (US$162 million)
  • Full FY26 financial results to be published on August 27, 2026

Financial Impact

EPS growth of 90-108% YoY and HEPS growth of 73-90% YoY, driven by 35.3% higher gold price and new copper revenue stream

epsheadline epsrevenuegold pricecopper productionimpairment reversalsproduction coststax expenseroyalty expense

Risk Factors

  • Gold price volatility could reverse the favorable pricing tailwind
  • Integration costs and higher royalty/tax expenses may pressure future margins
  • Inflationary cost pressures (labor, electricity, consumables) could erode AISC guidance in FY27

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Gold and Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
82% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (HMY) — Batch item 10001628280-26-058327
Document: 0001628280-26-058327-index-headers.html0001628280-26-058327
Document: 0001628280-26-058327-index.html0001628280-26-058327
Document: 0001628280-26-058327.txt0001628280-26-058327
6-K Filing (HMY) — Batch item 50001628280-26-058327
Document: 0001628280-26-058327-index-headers.html0001628280-26-058327
Document: 0001628280-26-058327-index.html0001628280-26-058327
Document: 0001628280-26-058327.txt0001628280-26-058327
11 reports for HMY
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate 2 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +23.14%Jun 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HMY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.54 $19.92▲ +1.94%▲ +1.13%$17.33 (−11.28%)
Sep 8, 2026
24d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.23 $19.63▼ −2.97%▼ −2.30%$17.33 (−14.31%)
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$21.03 $20.76▼ −1.28%▼ −1.55%$17.33 (−17.57%)
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$21.03 $20.76▼ −1.28%▼ −1.55%$17.33 (−17.57%)
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$23.54 $20.23▼ −14.06%▼ −14.54%$17.33 (−26.36%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.28 $22.95▲ +19.04%▲ +19.24%$17.33 (−10.09%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.03 $22.81▲ +13.88%▲ +15.07%$17.33 (−13.45%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.33 $15.87▲ +10.75%▲ +11.17%$17.33 (+20.97%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$15.21 $16.29▲ +7.10%▲ +6.50%$17.33 (+13.97%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$15.21 $17.10▼ −12.43%▼ −11.99%$17.33 (−13.97%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 52m

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