Institutional Cluster

GSHD

Goosehead Insurance, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This cluster is dominated by passive rebalancing, not active conviction. The buying is too small and too index-driven to signal a thesis change. Given the model's poor track record on GSHD (0% win rate, avg -15.6% at T+20), treat any bullish signal from this filing with extreme skepticism. Monitor for active-manager accumulation or insider buying before considering a position.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
GSHD ▲ +76.72% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +76.72% · α vs SPY +72.33% · entry $36.90 → $65.21
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 09:38 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.22%
call -0.22% · α -0.76%
$36.82
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-4.80%
call -4.80% · α -5.23%
$35.13
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+43.52%
call +43.52% · α +41.63%
$52.96
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+76.72%
call +76.72% · α +72.33%
$65.21
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

Three mega-passive institutions (BofA, T. Rowe Price, Morgan Stanley) added $8.6M in GSHD during Q3 2025, while two sellers (Fidelity, Two Sigma) trimmed $1.1M. The buying is dominated by index-fund rebalancing, not active conviction, and the net $7.5M inflow is small relative to the $1.4B market cap. Historical reports on GSHD have been consistently wrong (0% win rate at T+20, avg -15.6%), and the score calibration shows net negative alpha for score 6-8 filings in this segment — this cluster does not warrant a bullish read.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$41.6M
Sell Value
$1.5M
Net Flow
$7.5M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $7.5M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
BofAADD+76.9%$17.4M$3.5M
T. Rowe PriceDOUBLED+1520.5%$17.0K$16.0K
Morgan StanleyADD+80.4%$24.1M$5.2M

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
FidelityTRIM-27.3%$229.0K-$111.7K
Two SigmaTRIM-65%$1.3M-$977.8K

Key Facts

  • 3 buyers added $8.6M in GSHD during Q3 2025; 2 sellers trimmed $1.1M
  • All three buyers are mega-passive managers (BofA, T. Rowe Price, Morgan Stanley) — likely index rebalancing, not active conviction
  • T. Rowe Price's 1,520% increase is from a trivial base ($2K → $17K) and is noise
  • Two Sigma (quant) trimmed 65% of its position, reducing from $1.3M to $320K
  • Fidelity trimmed 27.3% of its tiny $229K position — immaterial
  • Historical reports on GSHD have 0% win rate at T+20 with avg -15.6% return
  • Score calibration shows net negative alpha for score 6-8 filings in this segment

Financial Impact

Net institutional inflow of approximately $7.5M (3 buyers added $8.6M, 2 sellers trimmed $1.1M) — less than 0.5% of market cap

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • All buyers are passive/index funds — their additions reflect benchmark rebalancing, not stock-specific conviction
  • Historical reports on GSHD have been consistently wrong (0% win rate, avg -15.6% at T+20)
  • Score calibration shows net negative alpha for score 6-8 filings in this segment
  • Two Sigma's trim is the only active-manager signal and it is bearish

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
Analyst Consensus
58% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-GSHD-2025-Q3
22 reports for GSHD
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +63.16%May 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GSHD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$73.00 $45.76▼ −37.32%▼ −38.63%—
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$73.00 $51.70▼ −29.18%▼ −29.19%—
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$66.66 $67.08▲ +0.63%▲ +0.03%—
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$68.56 $68.45▼ −0.16%▲ +1.08%—
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$68.56 $68.45▼ −0.16%▲ +1.08%—
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$62.00 $71.26▲ +14.94%▲ +11.95%—
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$63.86 $70.45▲ +10.32%▲ +6.35%—
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$53.90 $70.70▲ +31.17%▲ +27.86%—
Jul 13, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$50.30 $65.31▲ +29.84%▲ +27.35%—
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$48.50 $62.00▲ +27.84%▲ +28.86%—
Showing 10 of 22

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 31m)

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Try SecBot Free Coming soon: SecBot Pro with alerts, watchlists, and API access
Report published Jun 11, 2026