S-1 ·Filed Mar 24, 2026

FPS

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed6mo ago SEC0001193125-26-122235
IPO registration
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The stock is likely to be well-received due to strong revenue growth and a favorable market position in high-demand sectors like data centers. However, traders should monitor the long-term impact of the Tax Receivable Agreement on cash flow and the potential for share dilution as the company uses its public listing to pursue acquisitions.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
FPS ▲ +89.74% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +89.74% · α vs SPY +76.29% · entry $32.47 → $61.61
Entry anchored
Mar 24, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-7.42%
call -7.42% · α -5.65%
$30.06
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-10.29%
call -10.29% · α -10.04%
$29.13
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+6.62%
call +6.62% · α -1.24%
$34.62
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+89.74%
call +89.74% · α +76.29%
$61.61
settled 4mo ago

Executive Summary

Forgent Power Solutions is an IPO filing for a leading designer and manufacturer of electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid, and industrial facilities. The company has experienced rapid growth, with revenue increasing 56% from fiscal 2024 to fiscal 2025 to $753.2 million and backlog doubling to $1.5 billion. The filing reveals a complex Up-C corporate structure with a controlling shareholder (Neos) and significant future tax payment obligations under a Tax Receivable Agreement, which could impact cash flow. The company is positioned to benefit from strong tailwinds in data center construction and grid modernization.

Key Financial Metrics

Rev Growth
+56.0%

Key Facts

  • Revenue grew 56% from fiscal 2024 to fiscal 2025, reaching $753.2 million.
  • Backlog doubled to $1.5 billion as of December 31, 2025, indicating strong future demand.
  • The company operates under an Up-C structure, with Neos controlling 78.85% of voting power and economic interests.
  • A Tax Receivable Agreement requires the company to pay an estimated $610.3 million over 15 years to the TRA Participants.
  • 42% of fiscal 2025 revenue came from the Data Center market, a high-growth sector driven by AI and cloud computing.

Financial Impact

The company reported $17.4 million in net income for fiscal 2025. The Tax Receivable Agreement represents a future liability of approximately $610.3 million.

revenuenetIncomecashFlowdilution

Risk Factors

  • The Tax Receivable Agreement could significantly reduce available cash flow for reinvestment or debt repayment.
  • The company's performance is highly dependent on continued investment in data centers, which could slow if AI development stalls.
  • A controlling shareholder (Neos) holds 78.85% of voting power, which may lead to conflicts of interest with public shareholders.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-1 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-122235
Document: d131669dex11.htm0001193125-26-122235
9 reports for FPS
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +42.87%May 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FPS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$31.36 $39.44▲ +25.77%▲ +24.95%$40.40 (+28.81%)
Aug 22, 2026
5w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$32.19 $30.54▼ −5.13%▼ −5.59%$40.40 (+25.49%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$46.86 $46.15▲ +1.52%▲ +2.45%$40.40 (+13.80%)
Jun 29, 2026
13w ago
S-1
MIXED ★ 6/10
$55.86 $47.50▼ −14.97%▼ −15.57%$40.40 (−27.69%)
May 30, 2026
17w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$56.35 $59.13▼ −4.93%▼ −7.68%$40.40 (+28.31%)
May 29, 2026
18w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$54.66 $59.13▼ −8.18%▼ −10.70%$40.40 (+26.10%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$47.30 $56.88▼ −20.25%▼ −19.05%$40.40 (+14.60%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$50.19 $48.52▼ −3.33%▼ −2.61%$40.40 (−19.52%)
Mar 24, 2026
27w ago
S-1
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$32.47 $29.13▼ −10.29%▼ −10.04%$40.40 (+24.41%)
Showing 9 of 9

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