8-K ·Filed Aug 10, 2026

COGT

Cogent Biosciences, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-341315
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The binary catalysts are the November and December 2026 PDUFA decisions for bezuclastinib in GIST and NonAdvSM. Positive outcomes would validate a multi-billion-dollar peak sales opportunity; any delay or complete response letter would reset the timeline and likely trigger a significant drawdown given the current $7.2B market cap, which already prices in approval. Monitor FDA advisory committee meeting announcements and the AdvSM NDA filing for additional near-term volatility.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
COGT ▼ -15.05% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -15.05% · α vs SPY -14.13% · entry $41.53 → $35.28
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+34 -24.41% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 10, 08:06 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-6.81%
call -6.81% · α -6.49%
$38.70
settled 7w ago
T+5d
-8.81%
call -8.81% · α -8.77%
$37.87
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-15.05%
call -15.05% · α -14.13%
$35.28
settled 24d ago
T+60d
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in 5w

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Executive Summary

Cogent Biosciences reported a wider net loss of $96.4M for Q2 2026 vs. $73.5M a year ago, reflecting scaling R&D and commercial readiness costs as it approaches two PDUFA dates in late 2026 (GIST November 30, NonAdvSM December 30). The company ended the quarter with $792.3M cash and raised $73.6M in gross proceeds from an ATM post-quarter, extending its runway into late 2028. With no revenue or consensus EPS available for the period, the filing's impact hinges on the binary regulatory catalysts ahead, not the financial results themselves.

Key Facts

  • Net loss widened to $96.4M in Q2 2026 from $73.5M in Q2 2025, driven by increased R&D ($70.8M vs. $62.2M) and G&A ($31.8M vs. $13.4M) related to commercial build-out.
  • Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $792.3M at June 30, 2026; an additional $73.6M gross proceeds from ATM facility after quarter-end bring pro-forma cash to $865.9M.
  • FDA accepted NDA with priority review for bezuclastinib in GIST (PDUFA November 30, 2026); NDA for NonAdvSM accepted with PDUFA December 30, 2026.
  • AdvSM NDA submitted to FDA on June 30, 2026; APEX pivotal trial showed 65% ORR in 68 evaluable AdvSM patients.
  • Onboarded full commercial field team; company expects cash runway into late 2028 including through potential launches.
  • Phase 3 PEAK data presented at ASCO: bezuclastinib+sunitinib reduced risk of progression or death by 50% vs. sunitinib alone (HR 0.50; mPFS 16.5 vs. 9.2 months).

Financial Impact

No revenue generated; net loss expanded by ~31% YoY; cash burn $108.5M in H1 2026; pro-forma cash $865.9M sufficient into late 2028.

net losscash positionR&D expensesG&A expenses

Risk Factors

  • Clinical/regulatory risk: FDA could issue a complete response letter (CRL) for GIST or NonAdvSM, delaying or blocking approval.
  • Commercial risk: Launch execution and market access for a rare-disease drug in a competitive SM/GIST landscape (novartis/Blueprint avapritinib).
  • Cash burn risk: Pre-revenue, widening losses may require additional capital before meaningful product revenue is generated.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
84% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-341315
Document: cogt-20260810.htm0001193125-26-341315
Document: 0001193125-26-341315-index-headers.html0001193125-26-341315
Document: 0001193125-26-341315-index.html0001193125-26-341315
Document: 0001193125-26-341315.txt0001193125-26-341315
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-341315
10 reports for COGT
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +17.43%Jun 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for COGT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$41.53 $35.28▼ −15.05%▼ −14.13%$31.02 (−25.31%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$41.53 $35.28▼ −15.05%▼ −14.13%$31.02 (−25.31%)
Aug 9, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$41.53 $35.28▼ −15.05%▼ −14.13%$31.02 (−25.31%)
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$33.10 $38.87▲ +17.43%▲ +15.65%$31.02 (−6.28%)
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.10 $38.87▲ +17.43%▲ +15.65%$31.02 (−6.28%)
May 30, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$34.81 $38.70▲ +11.18%▲ +12.47%$31.02 (−10.89%)
May 28, 2026
18w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$35.38 $38.10▲ +7.69%▲ +10.83%$31.02 (−12.32%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$36.98 $32.76▼ −11.41%▼ −16.37%$31.02 (−16.12%)
Apr 17, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$37.25 $34.19▼ −8.21%▼ −13.59%$31.02 (−16.72%)
Apr 1, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$35.24 $35.87▲ +1.79%▼ −7.93%$31.02 (−11.98%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 22m)

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