8-K ·Filed May 5, 2026

CIFR

Cipher Digital Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001819989-26-000025
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The core bitcoin mining business is in structural decline as Cipher pivots to data center development. The $200M revolver and $5.2B debt load create significant financial risk if construction milestones slip or hyperscale tenants delay. Watch for Q2 2026 construction updates on Barber Lake and Black Pearl — any delay would pressure the stock further given the negative EBITDA trajectory.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CIFR ▲ +2.51% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -2.51% · α vs SPY +0.23% · entry $22.10 → $22.66
Entry anchored
May 5, 07:25 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.86%
call +0.86% · α +2.24%
$21.91
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-8.24%
call +8.24% · α +10.22%
$20.28
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+18.96%
call -18.96% · α -14.01%
$26.29
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+2.51%
call -2.51% · α +0.23%
$22.66
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Cipher Digital reported Q1 2026 bitcoin mining revenue of $34.8M, down 29% YoY from $49.0M, and a GAAP net loss of $114.3M ($0.28/share) vs a $39.0M loss ($0.11/share) a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA swung to negative $48.2M from positive $7.5M. The company signed a third hyperscale AI data center lease and secured a $200M revolving credit facility, but the core mining business is shrinking sharply as it transitions to a data center developer model.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.28
est $-0.27 · -3.7%
Revenue
$34.8M
est $36.5M · -4.5% · -28.9% YoY
Rating
strong miss

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 bitcoin mining revenue $34.8M, down 29% YoY from $49.0M
  • GAAP net loss $114.3M ($0.28/share) vs $39.0M loss ($0.11/share) in Q1 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA negative $48.2M vs positive $7.5M in Q1 2025
  • Operating loss widened to $114.6M from $38.1M YoY
  • Signed third AI data center campus lease with investment-grade hyperscale tenant
  • Closed $200M revolving credit facility with syndicate of global banks
  • Total debt $5.2B vs market cap $7.3B; net debt $960M
  • Bitcoin holdings fell to $76.2M from $125.4M at year-end 2025
  • Realized losses on bitcoin sales of $24.2M in Q1 2026 vs gains of $12.2M in Q1 2025
  • Share-based compensation surged to $27.0M from $9.1M YoY

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of $14.1M (29% YoY), net loss increase of $75.3M, Adjusted EBITDA swing of $55.7M negative

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAoperating cash flowbitcoin holdings

Risk Factors

  • Bitcoin mining revenue declining as hashpower is redirected to data center buildout
  • Massive debt load ($5.2B) with interest expense of $59.2M in Q1 alone, consuming all operating cash flow
  • Negative Adjusted EBITDA of $48.2M with no near-term path to profitability
  • Transition risk: company is shifting from mining to data center development, a capital-intensive business with execution risk
  • Share-based compensation tripled to $27M, diluting existing shareholders

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (22 analysts)

Investment Themes

Crypto & Blockchain

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001819989-26-000025
Exhibit: exh992cipherdigital_busi.htm0001819989-26-000025
Document: cifr-20260505.htm0001819989-26-000025
Document: 0001819989-26-000025-index-headers.html0001819989-26-000025
Document: 0001819989-26-000025-index.html0001819989-26-000025
Document: 0001819989-26-000025.txt0001819989-26-000025
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001819989-26-000025
15 reports for CIFR
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 8 of 8 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +77.39%Mar 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CIFR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$20.38 $14.61▲ +28.31%▲ +27.07%$15.54 (+23.75%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$29.18 $17.72▼ −39.27%▼ −39.81%$15.54 (−46.74%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$26.35 $17.72▲ +32.75%▲ +34.07%$15.54 (+41.02%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$24.29 $21.73▼ −10.54%▼ −12.17%$15.54 (−36.02%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$20.33 $26.03▼ −28.04%▼ −25.92%$15.54 (+23.56%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$21.91 $26.24▼ −19.76%▼ −16.98%$15.54 (+29.07%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$21.91 $26.24▼ −19.76%▼ −16.98%$15.54 (+29.07%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$21.91 $26.24▲ +19.76%▲ +16.98%$15.54 (−29.07%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$22.10 $26.29▼ −18.96%▼ −14.01%$15.54 (+29.68%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 7/10
$22.10 $26.29▲ +18.96%▲ +14.01%$15.54 (−29.68%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

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