DEFM14A ·Filed May 29, 2026

BLD

TopBuild Corp
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001104659-26-068303
Notable filing: DEFM14A
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The deal is fully financed and on track for Q3 2026 close. The spread between BLD's current price and the $505 cash consideration reflects remaining regulatory and vote risk. Monitor for any competing bids or regulatory challenges; the HSR clearance and Canadian no-action letter reduce antitrust risk. TopBuild stockholders should vote FOR or seek appraisal if they believe fair value exceeds $505.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
BLD ▼ -13.99% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -13.99% · α vs SPY -12.69% · entry $412.19 → $354.53
Next anchor: T+60d due 5w ago
Latest observation: T+23 -15.76% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
May 29, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-1.24%
call -1.24% · α -1.39%
$407.07
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-2.52%
call -2.52% · α +0.23%
$401.82
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-13.99%
call -13.99% · α -12.69%
$354.53
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
due 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TopBuild Corp. (BLD) filed a definitive merger proxy (DEFM14A) for its $17 billion acquisition by QXO, Inc. Stockholders will vote on June 29, 2026, to adopt the merger agreement. Each TopBuild share will convert into either $505.00 cash or 20.200 QXO shares (subject to proration: max 45% cash, 55% stock). The TopBuild board unanimously recommends approval; QXO's obligation is not subject to financing. The deal is expected to close in Q3 2026, pending stockholder votes, antitrust clearance (HSR waiting period expired May 26, 2026; Canadian no-action letter received May 28, 2026), and other customary conditions.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$17.0B
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • TopBuild stockholders to vote on merger with QXO on June 29, 2026.
  • Each TopBuild share elects $505.00 cash or 20.200 QXO shares; no-election shares default to stock.
  • Cash capped at 45% of outstanding shares; stock capped at 55% (QXO may increase stock cap).
  • TopBuild board unanimously recommends FOR the merger; QXO board unanimously recommends FOR share issuance.
  • Jacobs Private Equity II, LLC (19.1% voting power) has agreed to vote QXO shares in favor.
  • HSR waiting period expired May 26, 2026; Canadian no-action letter received May 28, 2026.
  • TopBuild stockholders have appraisal rights under Delaware law.
  • Termination fee of $600 million payable by either party under certain conditions.
  • QXO's obligation is NOT subject to financing condition.
  • TopBuild shares will be delisted from NYSE upon deal close.

Financial Impact

Total enterprise value of $17 billion; per-share consideration of $505 cash or 20.200 QXO shares (implied value ~$505 at current QXO price).

revenueepsdebtdilution

Risk Factors

  • Stockholder vote failure (TopBuild requires majority of outstanding shares; QXO requires majority of votes cast).
  • Regulatory challenges despite HSR and Canadian clearance; state or private antitrust actions possible.
  • QXO stock price decline could reduce value of stock consideration for electing holders.
  • Proration mechanics may result in holders receiving a mix of cash and stock different from their election.
  • Litigation challenging the merger could delay or block closing.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Construction - Special Trade Contractors
Analyst Consensus
59% bullish (17 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DEFM14A Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-068303
Document: tm2612250-7_defm14a.htm0001104659-26-068303
25 reports for BLD
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 3 of 9 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +22.72%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BLD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
—awaiting T+1——
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 7/10
$354.53 $354.53· 0.00%▲ +0.13%—
Jun 29, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$354.53 $354.53· 0.00%▲ +0.14%—
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$413.47 $407.41▼ −1.47%▼ −0.01%—
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$413.47 $407.41▼ −1.47%▼ −0.01%—
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$413.47 $407.41▼ −1.47%▼ −0.01%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$409.84 $411.08▲ +0.30%▼ −0.24%—
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$401.82 $399.03▼ −0.69%▼ −0.92%—
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$401.82 $399.03▼ −0.69%▼ −0.92%—
May 29, 2026
17w ago
DEFM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$412.19 $407.07▼ −1.24%▼ −1.39%—
Showing 10 of 25

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