6-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

BBVA

BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA, S.A.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-050804
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong earnings beat and capital return program (€2B new buyback) are clear positives. The first €1B tranche starting Aug 5 provides a near-term catalyst. Monitor the macro environment (Iran conflict, ECB rate path) which could pressure NII growth in H2. The operating expense growth (+17.9%) outpaced gross income growth (+17.3%) by a small margin, so watch for cost discipline. The cost of risk ticked up to 1.43% from 1.32% a year ago, driven by loan growth — monitor if provisioning normalizes in H2.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
BBVA ▲ +3.95% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +3.95% · α vs SPY -0.02% · entry $27.60 → $28.69
Next anchor: T+60d in 21d
Latest observation: T+42 -1.54% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 29, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+1.27%
call +1.27% · α +0.56%
$27.95
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+1.96%
call +1.96% · α -1.67%
$28.14
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+3.95%
call +3.95% · α -0.02%
$28.69
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BBVA reported strong H1 2026 results with net attributable profit of €6,051M (+11.1% YoY), driven by 20.3% net interest income growth across all geographies. The CET1 ratio of 12.90% remains well above the 11.5-12.0% target range, and the board announced a new €2B share buyback program (first €1B tranche starting Aug 5). Revenue and earnings both grew double-digits, credit quality improved (NPL ratio 2.6% vs 2.9% a year ago), and all business segments posted higher profits.

Key Facts

  • Net attributable profit H1 2026: €6,051M, +11.1% YoY (€5,447M)
  • Net interest income: €15,164M, +20.3% YoY
  • Gross income: €21,159M, +17.3% YoY
  • Operating expenses: €8,000M, +17.9% YoY (efficiency ratio 37.8%)
  • CET1 ratio: 12.90% (above 11.5-12.0% target, requirement 8.98%)
  • NPL ratio improved to 2.6% from 2.9% a year ago
  • ROE: 21.1% (vs 19.5% in H1 2025)
  • EPS: €1.04, +14.1% YoY
  • New €2B share buyback program announced; first €1B tranche starts Aug 5, 2026
  • All business areas grew: Spain +2.3%, Mexico +8.2%, Turkey +29.1%, South America +33.6%, Rest of Business +60.0%
  • Fitch upgraded BBVA to A (from A-) in May 2026; DBRS outlook positive

Financial Impact

H1 2026 net attributable profit €6,051M (+11.1% YoY), gross income €21,159M (+17.3% YoY). EPS €1.04 vs €0.91. Tangible book value per share €10.14 (+7.6% YoY).

revenueepsnetIncomeoperatingIncomecapitalRatiosNPLshareBuyback

Risk Factors

  • Geopolitical tensions (Iran conflict) could disrupt energy prices and economic activity in key markets (Turkey, Mexico)
  • Operating expenses growing faster than gross income (17.9% vs 17.3%) — efficiency ratio worsened 33bp YoY
  • Cost of risk increased to 1.43% from 1.32% a year ago, reflecting higher provisions in Turkey, South America, and Mexico
  • FX exposure: Turkish lira -12.4% YoY, Argentine peso -17.3% YoY against the euro
  • Eurozone ECB rate hike to 2.25% could pressure net interest margins in Spain

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Commercial Banks, NEC
Analyst Consensus
61% bullish (31 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-050804
Document: 0001628280-26-050804-index-headers.html0001628280-26-050804
Document: 0001628280-26-050804-index.html0001628280-26-050804
Document: 0001628280-26-050804.txt0001628280-26-050804
22 reports for BBVA
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +3.95%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BBVA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$29.10 $28.91▼ −0.65%▼ −0.76%$26.76 (−8.02%)
Sep 8, 2026
24d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$29.29 $29.10▼ −0.65%▲ +0.01%$26.76 (−8.62%)
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$28.96 $29.29▲ +1.14%▲ +1.28%$26.76 (−7.58%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$28.95 $28.64▼ −1.07%▼ −0.53%$26.76 (−7.55%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$29.21 $28.96▼ −0.86%▼ −1.32%$26.76 (−8.37%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$28.80 $29.21▲ +1.42%▲ +2.61%$26.76 (−7.07%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$28.35 $28.80▲ +1.59%▲ +1.63%$26.76 (−5.59%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$28.12 $28.50▲ +1.35%▲ +1.45%$26.76 (−4.82%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$27.95 $28.35▲ +1.43%▼ −2.08%$26.76 (−4.24%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$27.60 $28.14▲ +1.96%▼ −1.67%$26.76 (−3.03%)
Showing 10 of 22

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