DEFA14A8-K ·Filed Jul 16, 2026

ATAI

AtaiBeckley Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001140361-26-028605
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

ATAI stock should trade near the $6.75 cash component plus some value for the CVRs, with the spread reflecting deal risk (stockholder vote, antitrust, timing). Monitor the proxy filing and HSR review timeline. CVR milestones are binary catalysts: VLS-01 Phase 3 start (4yr), BPL-003 US approval/DEA rescheduling (5yr), VLS-01 US approval/DEA rescheduling (7yr). Lilly's resources increase probability of success but CVRs are contingent and non-transferable.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ATAI ▲ +1.40% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +1.40% · α vs SPY -2.22% · entry $7.15 → $7.25
Next anchor: T+60d in 6d
Latest observation: T+40 -7.01% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 16, 07:27 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.98%
call +0.98% · α +1.97%
$7.22
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+0.28%
call +0.28% · α +1.95%
$7.17
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+1.40%
call +1.40% · α -2.22%
$7.25
settled 7w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Eli Lilly (LLY) has agreed to acquire AtaiBeckley (ATAI) for $6.75 per share in cash plus up to $2.50 per share in contingent value rights (CVRs) tied to clinical and regulatory milestones for BPL-003 and VLS-01. The upfront cash consideration represents approximately $2.8 billion in aggregate equity value, a ~40% premium to the 30-day VWAP. The transaction is expected to close in Q3 2026, subject to stockholder approval, HSR clearance, and other customary conditions.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$2.8B
Premium
40%
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Lilly to acquire ATAI for $6.75/share cash + up to $2.50/share in CVRs ($1.00 on VLS-01 Phase 3 start, $0.50 on BPL-003 US approval/DEA rescheduling, $1.00 on VLS-01 US approval/DEA rescheduling)
  • Upfront cash equity value ~$2.8B; CVR potential additional ~$1.0B
  • ~40% premium to ATAI's 30-day volume-weighted average price as of July 15, 2026
  • Transaction expected to close in Q3 2026; not subject to financing condition
  • Voting agreements cover ~15% of outstanding shares (Apeiron Investment Group, directors, and officers)
  • BPL-003 (intranasal 5-MeO-DMT) has Breakthrough Therapy Designation for TRD; Phase 3 activities initiated
  • VLS-01 (buccal DMT) in Phase 2b; EMP-01 (oral (R)-MDMA) in Phase 2
  • Termination fee of $104.3M payable by ATAI under specified circumstances

Financial Impact

ATAI shareholders receive $6.75/share cash at close (~$2.8B aggregate) plus CVRs worth up to $2.50/share (~$1.0B aggregate) contingent on milestones; premium of ~40% to 30-day VWAP

acquisition premiumcash considerationcontingent value rights

Risk Factors

  • Stockholder approval may not be obtained; ~15% locked up via voting agreements but remaining shareholders could vote no
  • HSR or other antitrust/FDI clearances could delay or block the deal
  • CVR milestones may not be achieved (clinical failure, regulatory denial, DEA scheduling issues), resulting in zero additional payments
  • Go-shop provision allows ATAI to consider superior proposals, though a $104.3M termination fee applies
  • Integration risk post-close; Lilly may deprioritize programs

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
95% bullish (21 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DEFA14A Filing (ATAI) — Batch item 10001140361-26-028605
Document: 0001140361-26-028605-index-headers.html0001140361-26-028604
Document: 0001140361-26-028605-index.html0001140361-26-028605
Document: 0001140361-26-028605.txt0001140361-26-028604
DEFA14A Filing (ATAI) — Batch item 50001140361-26-028605
17 reports for ATAI
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +38.03%Apr 8, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ATAI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 11, 2026
21d ago
25-NSE
BEARISH ★ 9/10
$7.30 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20——
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
DEFM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.25 $7.28▲ +0.41%▲ +1.33%—
Aug 9, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.25 $7.28▲ +0.41%▲ +1.33%—
Jul 16, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A / 8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.15 $7.25▲ +1.40%▼ −2.22%—
Jul 7, 2026
12w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.17 $7.22▲ +39.65%▲ +36.38%—
Jul 6, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$4.96 $7.18▲ +44.76%▲ +45.32%—
Jun 26, 2026
14w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.36 $7.18▲ +33.96%▲ +34.23%—
Jun 25, 2026
14w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.29 $7.17▲ +35.54%▲ +34.28%—
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.53 $5.19▲ +14.57%▲ +15.57%—
May 12, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$4.15 $3.78▼ −8.92%▼ −7.19%—
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (37h 3m)

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