8-K ·Filed May 1, 2026

ARVN

ARVINAS, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonimmediate Processed5mo ago SEC0001628280-26-029210
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The FDA approval is a major value inflection point for Arvinas, likely driving a significant positive stock reaction. Monitor for the selection of a third-party commercialization partner and initial launch metrics. The $50M milestone provides near-term cash, but long-term value depends on commercial uptake and label expansion.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ARVN ▼ -21.98% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -21.98% · α vs SPY -25.05% · entry $10.51 → $8.20
Entry anchored
May 1, 11:22 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+2.57%
call +2.57% · α +2.91%
$10.78
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-3.04%
call -3.04% · α -5.39%
$10.19
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-18.36%
call -18.36% · α -23.65%
$8.58
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-21.98%
call -21.98% · α -25.05%
$8.20
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Arvinas announced FDA approval of VEPPANU (vepdegestrant) for ER+/HER2-, ESR1-mutated advanced breast cancer, the first-ever approved PROTAC therapy. The approval came ahead of the June 5 PDUFA date, and Arvinas will receive a $50M milestone payment from partner Pfizer. This transformative milestone validates the PROTAC platform and provides a new treatment option in a high-need setting.

Key Facts

  • FDA approved VEPPANU (vepdegestrant) for ER+/HER2-, ESR1-mutated advanced or metastatic breast cancer after prior endocrine therapy.
  • First-and-only FDA-approved PROTAC (protein degrader) therapy.
  • Approval received ahead of the June 5, 2026 PDUFA date.
  • In the Phase 3 VERITAC-2 trial, VEPPANU reduced risk of disease progression or death by 43% vs fulvestrant (HR 0.57, p=0.0001) in ESR1-mutated patients.
  • Arvinas will receive a $50M development milestone payment from Pfizer, offset by amounts owed to Yale University.
  • Arvinas and Pfizer remain on track to select a third-party commercial partner.

Financial Impact

$50 million milestone payment from Pfizer (net of Yale obligations); future commercial revenue potential for a first-in-class drug

revenuecash flowpipeline value

Risk Factors

  • Commercial execution risk given Arvinas and Pfizer are outsourcing commercialization
  • Potential safety concerns (QT prolongation, liver enzyme elevations) may limit use
  • Competition from other CDK4/6 inhibitor combinations and emerging therapies
  • ESR1-mutant patient population limits addressable market (~40-50% of ER+ patients)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
62% bullish (26 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-029210
Document: fdaapprovalpressrelease_.htm0001628280-26-029210
Document: 0001628280-26-029210-index-headers.html0001628280-26-029210
Document: 0001628280-26-029210-index.html0001628280-26-029210
Document: 0001628280-26-029210.txt0001628280-26-029210
18 reports for ARVN
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 8 of 8 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +28.62%Feb 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ARVN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 4, 2026
28d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.08 $8.26▼ −9.03%▼ −7.91%$7.41 (−18.39%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.14 $8.29▲ +1.84%▲ +0.83%$7.41 (−8.97%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$7.70 $6.98▲ +9.35%▲ +5.53%$7.41 (+3.77%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$9.57 $8.78▼ −8.26%▼ −8.33%$7.41 (−22.57%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$9.57 $8.78▼ −8.26%▼ −8.33%$7.41 (−22.57%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$9.57 $8.78▲ +8.26%▲ +8.33%$7.41 (+22.57%)
May 8, 2026
20w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.66 $8.78▼ −9.11%▼ −9.02%$7.41 (−23.29%)
May 8, 2026
20w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.66 $8.78▼ −9.11%▼ −9.02%$7.41 (−23.29%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$10.61 $9.57▲ +9.80%▲ +11.79%$7.41 (+30.16%)
May 1, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$10.51 $10.19▼ −3.04%▼ −5.39%$7.41 (−29.50%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 41m)

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