Institutional Cluster

APPF

APPFOLIO INC
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Institutional cluster: 8 buyers, 2 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong institutional accumulation, especially Jennison Associates' $26.2M addition, signals conviction in APPF's software platform thesis. However, the lack of insider buying and 10 insider sells in the past 30 days creates a divergence. Monitor for any subsequent 13D filings or earnings catalysts that could explain the cluster. The 45-day lag means this signal is stale — watch for Q3 2026 13F filings to confirm whether positions were maintained or reversed.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
APPF ▲ +16.20% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +16.20% · α vs SPY +16.80% · entry $193.00 → $224.27
Next anchor: T+60d in 26d
Latest observation: T+38 -5.87% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 4, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.58%
call +0.58% · α +0.73%
$194.11
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+1.95%
call +1.95% · α +1.60%
$196.77
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+16.20%
call +16.20% · α +16.80%
$224.27
settled 4w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 26d

Executive Summary

Eight institutional buyers added $31.2M in APPF during Q2 2026, led by Jennison Associates more than tripling its position to $38.2M, while only two small sellers trimmed $685K. The cluster is dominated by active asset managers with no passive/index rebalancing, suggesting a shared conviction thesis. However, the 45-day 13F reporting lag means positions may have been adjusted since quarter-end, and insider activity shows no corroborating open-market buying (10 sells totaling $1.2M in the last 30 days). The historical win rate of 67% at T+20 on prior APPF reports supports moderate confidence in this signal, but the score calibration data shows score-6 filings have only a 46-55% observed probability of positive T+20 alpha, tempering conviction.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$57.5M
Sell Value
$161.0K
Net Flow
$31.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $31.2M

▲ Buyers (8)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Jennison AssociatesDOUBLED+212.9%$38.2M$26.2M
Envestnet Asset ManagementADD+25.6%$14.1M$3.0M
Johnson Investment CounselADD+43.1%$2.3M$711.0K
Envestnet Portfolio SolutionsADD+91.1%$1.5M$714.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Daiwa Securities GroupTRIM-37.1%$1.5M-$554.9K
Eurizon Capital Sgr S.p.a.NEAR_EXIT-80.9%$161.0K-$130.2K

Key Facts

  • 8 institutional buyers added a net $31.2M in Q2 2026, with Jennison Associates doubling its stake to $38.2M (a $26.2M increase)
  • Only 2 sellers trimmed a combined $685K, representing negligible selling pressure
  • All 8 buyers are active asset managers (no passive/index funds), strengthening the signal
  • No insider open-market buying corroborates the institutional cluster; 10 insider sells totaling $1.2M in the last 30 days
  • 13F data is as of June 30, 2026 — positions may have changed in the subsequent 45-day lag period

Financial Impact

8 institutions accumulated $31.2M in new APPF positions while 2 reduced holdings by $685K, for a net inflow of approximately $30.5M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; institutions may have already unwound positions
  • No insider buying corroboration and 10 insider sells in the last 30 days suggest management is not aligned with the institutional thesis
  • Score calibration shows score-6 filings have only ~50% observed probability of positive T+20 alpha, limiting conviction

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
94% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-APPF-2026-Q2
20 reports for APPF
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for APPF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$223.05 $209.84▼ −5.92%▼ −7.16%—
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$224.40 $214.63▼ −4.35%▼ −4.07%—
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$224.40 $214.63▲ +4.35%▲ +4.07%—
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$203.95 $221.17▲ +8.44%▲ +9.75%—
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$203.95 $221.17▲ +8.44%▲ +9.75%—
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$195.97 $225.95▲ +15.30%▲ +17.28%—
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$203.97 $208.48▲ +2.21%▲ +3.96%—
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$203.02 $205.65▲ +1.30%▲ +2.35%—
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$203.02 $205.65▲ +1.30%▲ +2.35%—
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$198.74 $214.28▲ +7.82%▲ +8.22%—
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (37h 49m)

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Report published Aug 4, 2026