PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 3, 2026

ANDE

The Andersons, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive earnings beat driven by Renewables and 45Z tax credits is a strong positive catalyst. Watch the Q2 2026 conference call on Aug 4 for guidance on the sustainability of 45Z credits and the Clymers debottlenecking timeline. The revenue miss is a minor concern but is overshadowed by the earnings beat and cash flow generation.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
ANDE ▼ -9.69% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -9.69% · α vs SPY -8.46% · entry $74.48 → $67.26
Next anchor: T+60d in 25d
Latest observation: T+39 -0.16% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 3, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-6.35%
call -6.35% · α -6.15%
$69.75
settled 8w ago
T+5d
-13.94%
call -13.94% · α -13.84%
$64.10
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-9.69%
call -9.69% · α -8.46%
$67.26
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 25d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The Andersons reported a massive Q2 2026 earnings beat, with GAAP EPS of $1.65 vs $1.48 consensus and adjusted EPS of $2.15, driven by record Renewables segment performance including $24M in 45Z tax credits. Revenue of $3.10B was below the $3.26B consensus estimate, but the earnings beat was so large that the revenue miss is secondary. The Renewables segment posted adjusted pretax income of $88.4M, up from $9.6M a year ago, while Agribusiness showed modest improvement. The company's strong cash flow generation and balance sheet flexibility support ongoing strategic investments in low-carbon fuel initiatives and capacity expansion.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.65
est $1.48 · +11.5%
Revenue
$3.1B
est $3.3B · -5.0% · -1.2% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Gross Margin
7.22%

Key Facts

  • GAAP diluted EPS of $1.65 vs consensus of $1.48 — a ~11.5% beat
  • Adjusted EPS of $2.15, up from $0.24 in Q2 2025
  • Revenue of $3.10B vs consensus of $3.26B — a ~4.9% miss
  • Renewables segment adjusted pretax income of $88.4M, a record for Q2, vs $9.6M in Q2 2025
  • Renewables benefited from $24M in 45Z producer tax credits
  • Agribusiness adjusted pretax income of $20.3M, up from $16.8M in Q2 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $140.3M, more than double the $65.2M in Q2 2025
  • Cash from operations before working capital changes of $112.9M, up from $42.9M in Q2 2025
  • Long-term debt to EBITDA remains well below the 2.5x target
  • Company guiding full-year adjusted effective tax rate of 14%-18%

Financial Impact

GAAP EPS of $1.65 beat consensus by ~$0.17 (11.5%); adjusted EPS of $2.15; adjusted EBITDA of $140.3M more than doubled YoY

epsadjustedEpsadjustedEbitdasegmentProfitcashFlow

Risk Factors

  • Revenue miss of ~4.9% vs consensus could indicate top-line pressure
  • Reliance on 45Z tax credits for a significant portion of Renewables profit — policy risk if credits are not extended
  • Drier conditions in western corn belt could pressure grain asset earnings in H2 2026
  • Legal settlement and asset impairment charges of $28.4M in Q2 2026 are non-recurring but highlight operational risks

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Wholesale-Farm Product Raw Materials
Analyst Consensus
90% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-prn-302841409
8 reports for ANDE
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for ANDE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$74.48 $67.26▼ −9.69%▼ −8.46%$67.72 (−9.08%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$74.48 $67.26▼ −9.69%▼ −8.46%$67.72 (−9.08%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$71.22 $76.20▲ +6.99%▲ +6.46%$67.72 (−4.91%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$68.23 $72.91▲ +6.86%▲ +4.08%$67.72 (−0.75%)
Mar 17, 2026
28w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$69.75 $70.63▲ +1.27%▼ −3.03%$67.72 (−2.90%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$71.04 $74.52▲ +4.90%▲ +2.92%$67.72 (−4.68%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$71.04 $74.52▲ +4.90%▲ +2.92%$67.72 (−4.68%)
Mar 11, 2026
29w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$67.60 $74.22▲ +9.79%▲ +9.27%$67.72 (+0.18%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 19m)

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Report published Aug 3, 2026