8-K ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

AM

Antero Midstream Corp
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001104659-26-088210
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The EPS miss is a near-term headwind, but the post-quarter debt paydown from the Veolia settlement is a significant credit event that improves the balance sheet and removes near-term maturity risk. Monitor the Q3 2026 call for updated guidance on volume growth and the impact of lower interest expense on EPS. The stock may trade range-bound as the market weighs the earnings miss against the deleveraging catalyst.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
AM ▲ +4.55% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +4.55% · α vs SPY +0.58% · entry $21.55 → $22.53
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 -1.22% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 29, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+1.95%
call +1.95% · α +1.24%
$21.97
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-0.28%
call -0.28% · α -3.90%
$21.49
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+4.55%
call +4.55% · α +0.58%
$22.53
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 20d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Antero Midstream reported Q2 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.24, a 7.7% decline YoY and a 27.2% miss vs the $0.33 consensus estimate. Revenue of $327M was roughly in line with the $326.5M estimate. The EPS miss was driven by higher interest expense (+16% YoY) from the HG Energy acquisition financing and higher operating costs. The company received $371M in Veolia litigation proceeds post-quarter, used to call $650M of 2028 notes, strengthening the balance sheet and reducing leverage below the 3x target. The mixed picture of declining EPS but strong volume growth and a transformative debt paydown keeps the stock in a neutral-to-slightly-bullish range near-term, with the balance sheet improvement being the key credit-positive event for the common equity.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.24
est $0.33 · -27.3%
Revenue
$327.2M
est $326.5M · +0.2% · +7.1% YoY
Rating
miss
Free Cash Flow
$186.4M

Key Facts

  • GAAP diluted EPS of $0.24 missed consensus of $0.33 by 27.2%
  • Revenue of $327M was in line with $326.5M consensus
  • Gathering volumes hit a record 4.1 Bcf/d, up 19% YoY
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $289M was up 2% YoY
  • Received $371M in Veolia litigation proceeds in July 2026
  • Called $650M of 5.75% senior notes due 2028 at par using Veolia proceeds
  • Net debt reduced to $3.59B from $3.69B QoQ; leverage below 3x target
  • Repurchased 0.4M shares for ~$8M in Q2

Financial Impact

EPS miss of ~$0.09 vs consensus; $371M Veolia proceeds used to retire $650M in debt, reducing annual interest expense by ~$37M

epsrevenuedebtinterest expense

Risk Factors

  • Higher interest expense from HG Energy acquisition financing may continue to pressure EPS
  • Fresh water delivery volumes declined 16% YoY, indicating potential slowdown in water services revenue
  • Integration of HG Energy assets and execution on East Side Express pipeline carry execution risk

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Natural Gas Transmission
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-088210
Document: tm2621395d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-088210
Document: 0001104659-26-088210-index-headers.html0001104659-26-088210
Document: 0001104659-26-088210-index.html0001104659-26-088210
Document: 0001104659-26-088210.txt0001104659-26-088210
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-088210
8 reports for AM
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

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Reports for AM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.27 $22.60▲ +6.25%▲ +6.65%$20.58 (−3.27%)
Aug 2, 2026
8w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$21.98 $22.42▲ +2.00%▲ +0.76%$20.58 (−6.39%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$21.55 $22.53▲ +4.55%▲ +0.58%$20.58 (−4.52%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$21.55 $22.53▲ +4.55%▲ +0.58%$20.58 (−4.52%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$21.97 $22.14▲ +0.77%▼ −2.52%$20.58 (−6.35%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$21.36 $21.49▲ +0.61%▲ +2.34%$20.58 (−3.68%)
May 4, 2026
21w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$21.78 $21.21▼ −2.62%▼ −7.57%$20.58 (−5.53%)
May 4, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$21.99 $20.83▼ −5.28%▼ −10.92%$20.58 (−6.43%)
Showing 8 of 8

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