8-K ·Filed Jun 5, 2026

ACA

Arcosa, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001739445-26-000107
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The raised guidance and barge divestiture signal accelerating earnings quality and balance sheet strength. Monitor Q2 results for utility structure conversion of the 28% YTD backlog growth and progress on the Illinois wind-to-utility conversion. The 1.9x pro forma leverage provides capacity for further bolt-on M&A in Construction Products.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ACA ▲ +17.68% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +17.68% · α vs SPY +16.05% · entry $123.54 → $145.38
Next anchor: T+60d due 4w ago
Latest observation: T+57 +12.60% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jun 5, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+3.08%
call +3.08% · α +3.37%
$127.34
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+3.97%
call +3.97% · α +1.85%
$128.44
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+17.68%
call +17.68% · α +16.05%
$145.38
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
due 4w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Arcosa filed an updated investor presentation (Item 7.01) raising its full-year 2026 guidance for continuing operations, citing Q1 outperformance in utility structures and increased confidence. Revenue guidance was raised to $2.6B-$2.7B (from $2.54B-$2.67B) and Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $545M-$585M (from $520M-$565M), representing ~6% revenue growth and ~11% EBITDA growth YoY. The company also completed the sale of its barge business for $450M in cash, simplifying the portfolio to two segments (Construction Products and Engineered Structures) and reducing leverage to 1.9x pro forma.

Key Facts

  • Raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $2.6B-$2.7B (from $2.54B-$2.67B), up ~6% YoY vs FY2025 continuing ops revenue of $2.5B
  • Raised FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $545M-$585M (from $520M-$565M), up ~11% YoY vs FY2025 Adjusted EBITDA of $510M
  • Completed sale of barge business for $450M in cash on April 1, 2026; after-tax net proceeds estimated at $370M
  • Pro forma net leverage reduced to 1.9x (from 2.3x at Q1 2026) after using $83M of proceeds to prepay term loan
  • Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA from continuing ops grew 10% YoY to $102.9M with 100bps margin improvement to 18.0%
  • Engineered Structures backlog up 28% YTD; utility structures posted record revenue, margin, and backlog in Q1
  • Aggregates pricing up 2% and volume up 4% in Q1; cash unit profitability expanded 7%
  • FY2026 capex guided to $215M-$240M including $70M-$80M for growth projects

Financial Impact

Revenue guidance raised by ~$60M at midpoint ($2.65B vs prior $2.605B); Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised by ~$22.5M at midpoint ($565M vs prior $542.5M). Barge sale generated $450M cash, with $370M after-tax net proceeds.

revenueadjusted_ebitdaleveragefree_cash_flow

Risk Factors

  • Wind volumes expected to step down in 2026 before recovering in 2027
  • Macro uncertainty and timing of interest rate reductions slowing residential/commercial recovery
  • Higher oil-related input costs in Construction Products
  • Section 232 steel tariff impact deemed immaterial but could shift

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Fabricated Structural Metal Products
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001739445-26-000107
Document: aca-20260605.htm0001739445-26-000107
Document: 0001739445-26-000107-index-headers.html0001739445-26-000107
Document: 0001739445-26-000107-index.html0001739445-26-000107
Document: 0001739445-26-000107.txt0001739445-26-000107
11 reports for ACA
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +0.66%Feb 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ACA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$145.25 $145.48▲ +0.16%▲ +0.70%$146.57 (+0.91%)
Aug 14, 2026
6w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$145.01 $145.27▲ +0.18%▲ +1.37%$146.57 (+1.07%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$144.89 $144.96▲ +0.05%▼ −1.16%$146.57 (+1.16%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$144.92 $145.29▲ +0.26%▼ −1.54%$146.57 (+1.14%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$144.92 $144.62▼ −0.21%▼ −1.22%$146.57 (+1.14%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$144.92 $144.62▼ −0.21%▼ −1.22%$146.57 (+1.14%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$144.90 $144.50▼ −0.28%▲ +1.79%$146.57 (+1.15%)
Jun 5, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$123.54 $128.44▲ +3.97%▲ +1.85%$146.57 (+18.64%)
May 18, 2026
19w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$117.24 $126.74▲ +8.10%▲ +5.81%$146.57 (+25.01%)
Apr 8, 2026
25w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$111.96 $110.79▼ −1.05%▼ −4.23%$146.57 (+30.91%)
Showing 10 of 11

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